Sports Betting at Thunderpick: Odds, Markets and Live Wagers
10.00 EUR stake: three bet types compared
A 10.00 EUR stake on a 'Doppelte Chance' bet at odds of 1.30 for '1X' (Home win or Draw) results in a payout of 13.00 EUR, yielding a net profit of 3.00 EUR. This bet type covers two of the three possible outcomes, significantly reducing the odds.
Conversely, a 'Kombiwette' involving three selections with odds of 1.50, 2.00, and 2.50, when combined with a 10.00 EUR stake, offers a total potential payout of 75.00 EUR, a net profit of 65.00 EUR. This strategy requires all individual selections to be correct for any return.
A 'Torschützenwette' placed at odds of 2.75 for a specific player to score at any time during a match, with a 10.00 EUR stake, would return 27.50 EUR. If that same player is priced at 6.50 to score first, the same stake would yield 65.00 EUR.
odds, markets and Live betting
Set bets and point totals in Volleyball
Volleyball matches within top leagues feature between 40 and 80 markets, with odds for the outright winner typically ranging from 5% to 8%. This indicates a market where outcome predictions are relatively straightforward, reflected in the lower margin.
When focusing on set results in Volleyball, the margins increase to between 8% and 11%, demonstrating a higher bookmaker's edge on more specific outcomes. For instance, a 10.00 EUR stake on a specific set score could see a higher potential return if correct.
The distinction in margins between outright winner bets (5-8%) and set result bets (8-11%) in Volleyball suggests that while the overall match outcome is more predictable, predicting the exact progression of sets carries a greater premium for the bookmaker.
System bet not divided by three combinations
A 'System bet' allows for multiple combinations within a single wager, unlike a standard 'Kombiwette' which is a single, unified bet. For example, a 10.00 EUR stake on a system bet involving multiple selections would be divided across various combination outcomes.
The definition of a 'System bet' implies that a single wager is effectively split into multiple independent bets, each covering a different combination of selections. If one selection in a system bet fails, the entire wager is not necessarily lost.
This contrasts with a 'Kombiwette' where a 10.00 EUR stake with combined odds of 7.50 yields 75.00 EUR only if all individual selections are accurate; any single incorrect prediction results in a total loss of the stake.
Volleyball Winner 5-8% vs Set Results 8-11%
In Volleyball, markets for the outright winner typically carry a bookmaker margin between 5% and 8%, applied to a range of 40 to 80 markets per match in top leagues. This margin reflects the bookmaker's profit percentage on bets placed on the overall match outcome.
However, when wagering on specific set results within Volleyball, the bookmaker's margin escalates to between 8% and 11%. This demonstrates a higher profit expectation for the operator when players bet on more granular outcomes, such as the exact score of a set.
For a bettor, this means that a 10.00 EUR stake on a Volleyball match winner might offer a slightly higher potential return than the same stake on a specific set outcome, due to the difference in the underlying margins applied by the bookmaker.
Small budget: why 1.30 yields little
A 10.00 EUR stake placed on odds of 1.30, such as for a 'Doppelte Chance' bet in Football (Home win or Draw), results in a payout of 13.00 EUR. This represents a net profit of only 3.00 EUR, highlighting the low return on lower odds.
This means that with a smaller budget, achieving significant profit requires a considerably larger stake or a series of successful lower-odds bets. The low odds of 1.30, while suggesting a higher probability of success, offer minimal financial reward per wager.
For example, to achieve a 30.00 EUR net profit at 1.30 odds, a stake of 100.00 EUR would be required, which may be prohibitive for a small budget.
Sports, markets and margins in the betting offer
Sport
Markets per Match
Margin
Live Betting
Highlight
Formel 1
60–120 Märkte pro Rennwochenende inklusive Qualifying
3–5 % bei Fahrer-Duellen, 12–20 % bei Outrights auf den Rennsieger
ja
Duelle günstiger als Langzeitwetten
Basketball
150–250 Märkte pro NBA-Spiel, inklusive Spielerwetten
3–5 % bei Handicap und Über/Unter, 4–6 % Moneyline
ja
Handicap und Totals statt Siegwette
Boxen
25–50 Märkte pro Kampf
5–8 % im Siegermarkt, 9–13 % bei Rundenwetten
ja
Favoriten oft unter Quote 1,20
Tennis
120–200 Märkte bei ATP/WTA-Matches, 30–60 bei Challenger-Turnieren
3–6 % im Siegermarkt, 6–8 % bei Satz- und Spielwetten
ja
Zwei-Weg-Markt ohne Unentschieden
MMA
30–60 Märkte pro Kampf, je nach Kartenposition
5–8 % im Siegermarkt, 8–12 % bei Siegmethode
ja
Siegmethode und Rundenwetten sehr beliebt
Tischtennis
20–40 Märkte pro Match, meist Satz- und Punktewetten
6–10 %, live häufig über 10 %
instant
Täglich hunderte Matches, stark live-lastig
E-Sport (CS2, Dota 2, LoL)
40–120 Märkte pro Match bei großen Turnieren, 10–25 bei kleinen Events
4–7 % bei CS2-Top-Turnieren, 6–10 % bei Dota 2 und Nebenmärkten
ja
Map-Handicaps und Runden-Totals zentral
Rugby
60–120 Märkte pro Spiel der großen Ligen
5–8 % im Hauptmarkt, 8–11 % bei Versuchsschützen
ja
Handicap wichtiger als reine Siegwette
Volleyball
40–80 Märkte pro Match der Top-Ligen
5–8 % im Siegermarkt, 8–11 % bei Satzergebnissen
ja
Satzwetten und Punkte-Totals dominieren
Which markets dominate in E-sports?
Tischtennis features between 20–40 markets per match, with a focus on set and point betting. The margin for these markets typically ranges from 6–10%, often exceeding 10% in live betting scenarios. Hundreds of matches are available daily, predominantly favouring live betting engagement.
Tennis matches, particularly ATP/WTA events, offer a substantial 120–200 markets, while Challenger tournaments provide 30–60 markets. The margin sits between 3–6% for outright winner markets and 6–8% for set and game bets. This market structure is a two-way bet, excluding the possibility of a draw.
Eishockey games present 80–150 markets, primarily within major leagues like the NHL or DEL. The main market typically carries a 4–7% margin, increasing to 7–10% for period-specific bets. This betting structure operates on a three-way outcome, specifically for regular game time.
Handicap 3-5% vs Moneyline 4-6%
Basketball games, such as those in the NBA, offer an extensive array of 150–250 markets, notably including player-specific wagers. For handicap and over/under bets, the margin is generally between 3–5%. This presents a competitive offering for bettors seeking varied betting opportunities.
In contrast, the Moneyline market for basketball games typically exhibits a slightly higher margin, ranging from 4–6%. This difference, while seemingly small, can impact the overall profitability for bettors over a large volume of wagers. For instance, a 100 EUR bet could see a difference of 1-2 EUR in potential returns.
These margin differences highlight the importance of comparing odds across different bet types and bookmakers. Understanding these percentages can help players identify more value-driven betting options. For example, a strategic bettor might favour handicap markets when available at 3% over Moneyline markets at 6% if all other factors are equal.
How Many Markets Does an NBA Game Offer?
An NBA game can feature an impressive 150–250 distinct betting markets, demonstrating a comprehensive offering for basketball enthusiasts. This wide range includes standard outcomes as well as more specialized bets, catering to diverse preferences.
Within this extensive selection, markets such as handicaps and over/under bets typically carry a margin of 3–5%. The Moneyline, or outright winner market, generally has a slightly higher margin of 4–6%. These figures are competitive within the online sports betting industry.
The sheer volume of markets available for an NBA game, such as over 150, allows for a high degree of customization in betting strategies. This depth enables bettors to explore various angles and potentially find favourable odds across different market types, provided they compare them diligently.
Change Odds Format from Decimal to Fractional
The platform allows users to toggle their odds display between decimal and fractional formats, enhancing user experience and accessibility. Decimal odds, such as 2.50, are commonly used and easily calculable for payout. This format directly shows the total return per unit staked.
For instance, a bet of 10 EUR at decimal odds of 2.50 would yield a total payout of 25 EUR (10 EUR stake x 2.50 odds). This includes the original stake and the net winnings of 15 EUR. The conversion to fractional odds is straightforward, with 2.50 being equivalent to 3/2.
Switching to fractional odds, such as 3/2, provides an alternative representation familiar to some bettors. This format expresses the net profit relative to the stake. For example, 3/2 means a profit of 3 EUR for every 2 EUR staked, simplifying the calculation of potential winnings for those accustomed to this style.
Ice Hockey: 80 to 150 Markets Per Game
Ice hockey matches, particularly those in major leagues like the NHL or DEL, offer a robust selection of 80 to 150 betting markets. This extensive range caters to a variety of betting preferences, from simple match outcomes to more granular propositions.
The main betting market for ice hockey typically presents a margin of 4–7%. However, this margin can increase to 7–10% for bets specifically on individual periods within a game. This distinction is crucial for bettors aiming to optimize their potential returns.
The availability of 80 to 150 markets per game provides significant flexibility for bettors. For example, a bettor could focus on the main three-way market for regular time or delve into period betting, each with its own associated margin and strategic considerations.
Distribute 10.00 EUR Stake on Three Doubles
A single bet on a Football match, for instance, can offer between 25 and 50 markets. If a bettor opts for a combination of three double bets, each with odds of 2.00, and places a 10.00 EUR stake across these, the potential return can be calculated. This approach aims to mitigate risk by spreading the stake over multiple selections.
Distributing a 10.00 EUR stake across three separate doubles, each at odds of 2.00, means 3.33 EUR is staked on each double. A successful double bet at 2.00 odds returns double the stake, so each winning double would yield 6.66 EUR. The total return depends on how many of the three doubles are successful.
If all three double bets are successful, the total return from the initial 10.00 EUR stake would be 19.98 EUR (6.66 EUR x 3). This scenario illustrates how combining multiple selections within a double bet structure can influence the overall payout, with the potential for a significant return on a moderate stake.
What Does +150 Mean in Decimal Odds?
In the context of sports betting odds, a figure like +150 is typically associated with American odds, not decimal odds. Decimal odds, used by platforms like Thunderpick, present the total return, including the stake, as a single number. For example, a 1.50 decimal odd means a 1.00 EUR bet returns 1.50 EUR.
To convert American odds to decimal odds, a positive figure like +150 is divided by 100 and then 1 is added. Therefore, +150 American odds would translate to 2.50 in decimal odds (150 / 100 + 1 = 2.50). This decimal odd signifies that a 1.00 EUR stake would return 2.50 EUR.
This conversion is crucial for players accustomed to different odds formats. A 2.50 decimal odd implies a higher potential payout compared to a 1.50 or 2.00 odd. For instance, a 10.00 EUR bet at 2.50 decimal odds would result in a 25.00 EUR return, inclusive of the stake.
How much does a 2 out of 3 system pay?
A 2 out of 3 system bet involves selecting three events, and the bet wins if at least two of those selections are correct. This structure creates multiple betting lines, effectively placing three separate bets. For example, if a bettor selects three football matches with odds of 2.00, 2.50, and 3.00, the system bet would comprise three combinations.
The payout for a 2 out of 3 system depends on which two selections win. If the odds were 2.00, 2.50, and 3.00, and the first two won, the payout would be 2.00 x 2.50 = 5.00 EUR for that specific line. If the first and third won, it would be 2.00 x 3.00 = 6.00 EUR.
The total payout is the sum of all winning combinations. Should the second and third selections be victorious, the payout would be 2.50 x 3.00 = 7.50 EUR. A 10.00 EUR stake on this system across these odds would result in varying returns if two out of three events are predicted correctly.
Which Sport Has the Lowest Margin?
When analyzing sports betting margins, basketball often presents a more favourable structure for bettors. For NBA games, the margin on the Moneyline is typically between 4% and 6%. This range is considerably lower than some other sports, suggesting better potential value for consistent winners.
In contrast, sports like volleyball can exhibit margins ranging from 5% to 8% on the outright win market, and 8% to 11% on set results, demonstrating a higher bookmaker's edge. Cricket, depending on the format, can see margins from 8% to 12% on player bets, further highlighting variations across sports.
The lowest margins are generally found in sports with a high volume of markets and widespread betting interest. For instance, basketball’s 3% to 5% margin on handicaps and over/under bets indicates a competitive market where bettors might find more favourable opportunities over the long term.
Table Tennis Live Over 10% Instead of 6-10%
Table tennis betting, particularly in live markets, can experience a notable increase in the bookmaker's margin. While pre-match odds might offer a margin between 6% and 10%, live betting scenarios can push this figure higher. This dynamic shift is common across many sports as the event unfolds.
For table tennis matches, the margin can indeed exceed 10% when bets are placed during the game. This increase reflects the rapid pace of table tennis and the constant fluctuation of odds, which requires more sophisticated real-time risk management from the bookmaker. This is a typical characteristic of live betting.
A margin over 10% in live table tennis means that for every 100 EUR wagered, the expected return to the player is less than 90 EUR. This is a substantial difference compared to the pre-match margin of 6% to 10%, underscoring the importance of understanding live betting dynamics.